Meetings Archive

IWSM 2018

The 33rd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling 2018 will be hosted by the Statistics groups of the Universities of Bath and Bristol and the Jean Golding Institute and will take place at the University of Bristol. There is a short course on causal inference on 15 July followed by the main meeting 16-20 July.

The IWSM is one of the major activities of the Statistical Modelling Society and aims to promote statistical modelling in the widest sense, with a particular focus on real data problems which involve an element of novel statistical modelling, or novel model application, for their solution.

The workshop atmosphere is friendly and supportive with a good deal of discussion, and to this end consists of a single main session plus a poster session, rather than parallel sessions. The programme consists of one 50 minute invited talk per day, with the rest of the programme made up of 20 minute presentations (selected from the submitted abstracts by the scientific committee).

For further information about the event please visit the official event website.

You can register to attend by visiting the University’s Online Shop.

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How stable are democracies? Complex systems perspectives on modern society

The deadline for registration has now been extended until Friday 5th January 2018. 

To what extent can the tools of complex systems research be extended from the natural to the social domain?

As complex systems perspectives on physics, biology, chemistry, and biochemistry reach increasing maturity, more and more of the big open questions for the field relate to the analysis of complex social systems.

One particularly important issue is the robustness of social institutions, in general, and democracy, in particular. What makes a democracy robust? And which processes potentially lead to instability of a democratic system?

This workshop brings together academics from the fields of mathematics, network science, biology, political studies, economics amongst others to each offer a perspective on this question from their own field of research. Ample time will be given to discussion of the different viewpoints, and to a debate of emerging ideas.

Register to attend

Confirmed speakers

Andrea Migliano – University College London

Andrea Migliano is a Lecturer in Evolutionary Anthropology at the University College London. Her academic interests focus on the evolution of human’s adaptations as well as evolutionary theory applied to the origins of human phenotypic diversity, gene-culture co-evolution, as well as adaptations of hunter-gatherers and small scale societies.

 

 

David Garcia – Medical University of Vienna

David Garcia is a computational social scientist. He is a group leader at the Complexity Science Hub Vienna. His research focuses on computational social science, designing models and analysing human behaviour through digital traces. His main work revolves around the topics of emotions, cultures, and political polarization, combining statistical analyses of large datasets of online interaction with agent-based modeling of individual behaviour.

 

Didier Sornette – ETH Zurich

Didier Sornette is Professor on the Chair of Entrepreneurial Risks at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich. He is also a professor of the Swiss Finance Institute, and a professor associated with both the department of Physics and the department of Earth Sciences at ETH Zurich. He is the author of numerous books, amongst them Why Stock Markets Crash? and Critical Phenomena in Natural Sciences.

 

Don Ross – University College Cork

Don Ross is Professor of Philosophy at University College Cork, Ireland; Professor of Economics at the University of Cape Town, South Africa; and Program Director for Methodology at the Center for Economic Analysis of Risk, Georgia State University, USA.  His research focuses on the foundations of economic theory, the experimental economics of addiction, risk, and time preference, philosophy of science, and infrastructure, trade and industry policy in Africa.

 

Henry Farrell – George Washington University

Henry Farrell is Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at George Washington University. He works on a variety of topics, including trust, the politics of the Internet and international and comparative political economy. He has written articles and book chapters as well as a book, The Political Economy of Trust: Interests, Institutions and Inter-Firm Cooperation, published by Cambridge University Press.

 

Patricia Palacios – Ludwig-Maximilian University of Munich

Patricia Palacios is a doctoral fellow at the Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy at LMU Munich. Her areas of interest are general philosophy of science (especially problems concerning explanation, reduction and emergence) and in philosophy of physics (mainly foundations of statistical mechanics). Her current research focuses on philosophical problems raised by phase transitions.

 

Stephan Lewandowsky – University of Bristol

Stephan Lewandowsky is Professor of Psychology at the University of Bristol. He is a cognitive scientist with an interest in computational modeling. He examines the persistence of misinformation in society, and how myths and misinformation can spread. I has become particularly interested in the variables that determine whether or not people accept scientific evidence, for example surrounding vaccinations or climate science.

 

Tina Eliassi-Rad – Northeastern University

Tina Eliassi-Rad is an Associate Professor of Computer Science at Northeastern University in Boston, MA. She is also on the faculty of Northeastern’s Network Science Institute. Her research is rooted in data mining and machine learning; and spans theory, algorithms, and applications of massive data from networked representations of physical and social phenomena. Tina’s work has been applied to personalized search on the World-Wide Web, statistical indices of large-scale scientific simulation data, fraud detection, mobile ad targeting, and cyber situational awareness.

 

 

How to register

Tickets to attend this event can be purchased via the Universities online shop. Please note that the deadline for registrations is Friday 5 January.

Prices:

Academic fee – £50.00

Postgraduate Student fee – £30.00

Undergraduate Student fee – £10.00

 

There is the possibility to contribute a short talk (10-15 minutes). To apply, please, send a half-page abstract and links to any relevant publications to maths-conference-administrator@bristol.ac.uk by December 5. Notification of acceptance will be sent by 15 December.

 

Venue, travel and accommodation

The event will be held at M Shed, located on the harbourside, a five to 10 minute walk from the city centre or a 20 minute walk from Bristol Temple Meads train station. Further travel information can be found here.

For information on the range of accommodation options available, please see the Visit Bristol website.

 

Programme

Thursday 11 January

9:00 am – Registration, tea and coffee

9:30 am – Welcome

10:00 am – Talk and discussion sessions (full schedule and timings to be confirmed)

5:00 pm – Buffet reception

6:30 pm – Evening public talk

 

Friday 12 January

9:00 am – Tea and coffee

9:30 am – Talk and discussion sessions (full schedule and timings to be confirmed)

4:30 pm – Closing comments

5:00 pm – Event close

 

Organising committee

Karoline Wiesner, School of Mathematics, University of Bristol

Karim Thebault, Department of Philosophy, University of Bristol

Alvin Birdi, Department of Economics, University of Bristol

 

For practical information, please contact the Maths Conference Administrator.

 

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Would Policymaker Use of Complexity Analysis Make Economics More Relevant to the Real World?

12.30pm – 1.45pm, We The Curious (At-Bristol)

Is standard economic forecasting and analysis fit for purpose? Or should economists be adopting methods from complex systems?

This debate pits two leading practitioners against each other. Doyne Farmer is a world-leading authority on agent-based modelling. Catherine L. Mann is in charge of economic forecasting at the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, which produces some of the most influential economic predictions. The event is Chaired by Romesh Vaitilingam.

This event is hosted by The Institute for Advanced Studies and the University of Bristol’s Centre for Complexity Sciences.

For more information and to book tickets, click here.

 

Student ticket discount:

This is the link to the discounted season ticket (access to all paid events for all Bristol Festival of Economics events, except Robert Peston) – £25 (instead of £50 concession):
To purchase individual tickets at the discounted rate of £4.50 (instead of £6.50 concession):
·         On ticket booking page (in Eventbrite) click TICKETS
·         In SELECT TICKETS pop up box, click ENTER PROMOTIONAL CODE top right
·         Enter code: UoBSTUDENT
·         You can now choose 1 concession ticket at the discounted price.
·         This code can be used across all paid Festival of Economics events this year.

 

Contact information

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Opportunity for dialogue with the Royal Statistical Society

3pm – 5pm Room SM3, School of Mathematics, University Walk, BRISTOL

Presentation and discussion with Hetan Shah, CEO, Royal Statistical Society

Hetan will give a short presentation that explains the varied work of the Royal Statistical Society. After the presentation the floor will be open and a discussion held about what people see at the key issues which they think that the RSS should be taking forward. Hetan is particularly interested to hear about the range of statistical work that is carried out in Bristol and views from the community about what the RSS should be doing. Members of the RSS are encourage to attend and participate and non-members, who are interested are more then welcome to attend.

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Heilbronn: Perspectives on the Riemann Hypothesis

A meeting on the Riemann Hypothesis, and on the theory of the zeta-function and other L-functions.

Speakers to include:

K. Ball (Warwick)
E. Bombieri (IAS, Princeton)
A. Booker (Bristol)
A. Connes (IHES)
B. Conrey (AIM)
A. Florea (Stanford)
N. Katz (Princeton)
P. Garrett (Minnesota)
S. Patterson (Göttingen)
M. Radziwill (McGill)
P. Sarnak (Princeton)
W. Sawin (ETH Zurich)
C. Skinner (Princeton)
K. Soundararajan (Stanford)
T. Tao (UCLA)
F. Villegas (ICTP)
W. Zhang (M.I.T)
 
Organisers: J.B. Conrey (AIM/Bristol), J.P. Keating (Bristol), P. Sarnak (Princeton), A. Wiles (Oxford)
Registration is now closed and all places for the conference have been allocated.
This event is organised in partnership with: American Institute of Mathematics, University of Bristol, Clay Mathematics Institute, EPSRC, Heilbronn Institute for Mathematical Research and the National Science Foundation  
Slides:
Problem Session:
Videos to follow
*Applies to expenses incurred exceptionally as a result of attending the conference
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Women in Mathematics: Opportunities for the Future 2017

Enjoying your degree in mathematics? Discover where further study in maths can take you. Yes, that’s you!

A PhD in mathematics can offer you independence, challenging problems and an inspiring job, including team-work, travel opportunities, and the opportunity to make a difference. 

Part of this event will be aimed at encouraging female mathematics students to apply, and part will be open to all. Please see below for details of the schedule.

The aim of this event is to encourage female, including those who self-define as women or whose gender identity includes “woman” or is non-binary, mathematics students from across the UK to consider continuing their studies to PhD level.  The event features talks from mathematicians working both in universities and industry, giving insight into their current roles and their careers to date.  Even more importantly, there is ample time to talk in small groups to the other participants who are facing the same decisions, and also to current PhD students who have recently faced the same questions.

How to apply

Applications for this event are now closed, however we do have a limited number of spaces available for our Wednesday afternoon session, which is open to all undergraduate and masters students.

If you are interested in attending the afternoon session, please contact maths-conference-administrator@bristol.ac.uk for further details.

Programme

From 4pm on Tuesday 7th November – 12pm on Wednesday 8th November: To support female (including those who self-define as women or whose gender identity includes “woman”) undergraduates and masters students across the UK into further study in mathematics.

From 12pm – 5pm on Wednesday 8th November: To support all undergraduate and masters students.

Tuesday 7 November – supporting women in maths:

4:00pm Welcome and registration

from 4pm Networking in groups/meeting graduate students

5:00pm Keynote speaker: Dr Heather Harrington, University of Oxford

7:00pm Dinner at Zero Degrees

 Wednesday 8 November – supporting women in maths:

10:00am A day in the life of a PhD student

10:10am Small group discussions

10.30am Short talk by current graduate student

10:45am Tea and Coffee

11:00am Question and answer session

Wednesday 8 November – open to all undergraduate and masters students (afternoon talks will take place in SM1):

12 noon Lunch

12.45pm Panel with graduate students talking about their experiences and how they came to do a PhD

1:45pm Short talk by current graduate student

2:00pm Information from the Post Graduate team

2:45pm Tea and Coffee 

Three practitioners of mathematics to speak about what they do and how they got there:

3:00pm Industry speaker: TBC

3:30 Professor Corinna Ulcigrai, University of Bristol

4:00 Aimee Gott, Mango Solutions

4.30pm Informal discussions

5:00pm Finish

Contact information

Organising commitee: Olly Johnson, Joe Allen, Emma Bailey, Louisa Bartoszewicz, Paisley Carter, Tamara Grava, Olly Johnson, Francesco Mezzadri, Fatemeh Mohammadi and Corinna Ulcigrai.

For practical information, please contact maths-conference-administrator@bristol.ac.uk

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Scalable Inference: Statistical, Algorithmic, Computational Aspects

Programme Theme

The complexity and sheer size of modern data sets, of which ever increasingly demanding questions are posed, give rise to major challenges and opportunities for modern statistics. While likelihood-based statistical methods still provide the gold standard for statistical methodology, the applicability of existing likelihood methods to the most demanding of modern problems is currently limited. Thus traditional methodologies for numerical optimisation of likelihoods, and for simulating from complicated posterior distributions, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo and Sequential Monte Carlo algorithms often scale poorly with data size and model complexity, and thus fail for the most complex of modern problems.

The area of computational statistics is currently developing extremely rapidly, motivated by the challenges of the recent big data revolution, and enriched by new ideas from machine learning, multi-processor computing, probability and applied mathematical analysis. Motivation for this development comes from across the physical biological and social sciences, including physics, chemistry, astronomy, epidemiology, medicine, genetics, sociology, economics – in fact it is hard to find problems not enriched by big data and the resultant associated statistical challenges.

This programme will focus on methods associated with likelihood, its variants and approximations, taking advantage of, and creating new advances in statistical methodology. These advances have the potential to impact on all aspects of science and industry that rely on probabilistic models for learning from observational or experimental data.

Intractable likelihood problems are defined loosely as ones where the repeated evaluation of likelihood function (as required in standard algorithms for likelihood-based inference) is impossible or too computationally expensive to carry out. Scalable methods for carrying out statistical inference are loosely defined to be methods whose computational cost and statistical validity scale well with both model complexity and data size.

Understanding and developing scalable methods for intractable likelihood problems requires expertise across statistics, computer science, probability and numerical analysis. Thus it is imperative that the programme be broad, covering statistical, algorithmic and computational aspects of inference. The programme will cut across the traditional boundary between frequentist and Bayesian inference, and will incorporate both statistics and machine learning approaches to inference. Central to the focus will be the close integration of algorithm optimisation with the opportunities offered, and constraints imposed by modern multi-core technologies such as GPUs.

The first week of the programme will feature a broad-focused workshop, and more application specific activities will take place later.

For further information please visit the Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences webpage.

 

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Probability, Analysis and Dynamics ’18 Three-Day Conference

Probability, Analysis and Dynamics ’18 three-day conference to be held from 4-6 April 2018 at the University of Bristol. Supported by Heilbronn Institute for Mathematical Research. We are delighted that the following outstanding mathematicians have agreed to speak:

Viviane Baladi (CNRS, Paris)
Krzysztof Burdzy (Seattle)
Laura DeMarco (Northwestern)
Dmitry Dolgopyat (Maryland)
Tatjana Eisner (Leipzig)
Alison Etheridge (Oxford)
Geoffrey Grimmett (Cambridge)
Martin Hairer (Warwick)
Mike Hochman (Jerusalem)
Konstantin Khanin (Toronto)
Antti Kupiainen (Helsinki)
Jens Marklof (Bristol)
Vladimir Markovic (Caltech)
Felix Otto (Max Planck Institut)
Steffen Rohde (Seattle)
Sasha Sodin (Queen Mary University of London)

 

For more information see the Meeting Website.

Organisers: Marton Balazs, Edward Crane, Thomas Jordan, John Mackay, Balint Toth.

Participants are kindly asked to register by Wednesday 21 March 2018. For those attending the dinner (not including speakers, they are invited for dinner at no cost), the most convenient way to pay is via our online shop.

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