Emma Bailey

University of Bristol


Interpolation statistics for unlikely values of unitary characteristic polynomials


Probability Seminar


24th October 2025, 3:30 pm – 4:30 pm
Fry Building, G.07


The logarithm of unitary characteristic polynomials is a Gaussian random variable when one draws the matrix under Haar measure. Large deviation principles and some precise deviations for this random variable are known following work of Hughes-Keating-O’Connell and Féray-Méliot-Nikeghbali. Motivated by a conjecture regarding the leading coefficient of the moments of the Riemann zeta function, we study a particular ‘interpolating regime’ in the right-tail. This is joint work with Sebastian Ortiz.





Organisers: Edward Crane, Luke Turvey

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