### Analysis of two-component Gibbs samplers using the theory of two projections

Statistics Seminar

18th March 2022, 4:00 pm – 5:00 pm

Virtual Seminar, Zoom link: TBA

Gibbs samplers are a class of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms commonly used in statistics for sampling from intractable probability distributions. In this talk, I will demonstrate how Halmos's (1969) theory of two projections can be applied to study Gibbs samplers with two components. I will first give an introduction to MCMC algorithms, particularly Gibbs algorithms. Then, I will explain how problems regarding the asymptotic variance and convergence rate of a two-component Gibbs sampler can be translated into simple linear algebraic problems through Halmos's theory. In particular, a comparison is made between the deterministic-scan and random-scan versions of two-component Gibbs. It is found that in terms of asymptotic variance, he two-component random-scan Gibbs sampler is never much worse, and could be considerably better than its deterministic-scan counterpart, provided that the selection probability is appropriately chosen. On the other hand, the deterministic-scan version has a faster convergence rate. These results suggest that one may use the deterministic-scan version in the burn-in stage, and switch to the random-scan version in the estimation stage.

*Biography:*

*Organiser*: Juliette Unwin

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